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Trends I published 15 December 2023

Forecasts

For manufacturers and brands involved in the construction, installation, and home improvement markets, clear forecasts are the foundation of successful strategies. Given the complexity of these markets, however, their future may seem rather opaque, and reliable forecasts are hard to come by.

Luckily, our continuous research does not only allow us to provide insights into the status quo of the construction, installation, and home improvement markets. Using our results and nearly three decades of experience, we can provide a peek into future developments in these markets as well.

Using architects’ insights to forecast construction volumes and trends

Our most successful forecast model is part of our oldest monitor research, the European Architectural Barometer. Architects are excellent indicators for developments in the market, as they are positioned at the very start of the construction process and are generally influential throughout.

Their insights and order book developments, combined with other indicators like construction permit figures, consumer, industrial, and construction confidence indicators, employment figures, and GDPs, form the basis of our forecast model.

Over a decade of proven track record

For more than a decade, USP’s forecasting model has built up a reliable track record of predictions with a high degree of accuracy. Compared to other institutes, USP’s forecast has proven to be very close to the realised construction volumes as reported by Eurostat in recent years.

How can our forecasts help your business success?

In every quarterly report of the European Architectural Barometer, you can find the updated results of our forecast model for predicting construction volumes. But we can provide much more than that.

Our on-the-shelf knowledge of the development of indicators in the construction, installation and home improvement markets is available to enrich the results of dedicated market research with insights into the future of the market you operate in.

Some examples of studies in which we used our forecasts are:

  1. Market exploration research
  2. Product development research
  3. Market-sizing research
  4. Market segmentation research

Fresh Insights Await

Our latest reports

Delve into the newest findings across various market segments, crafted for a cutting-edge overview. Explore our latest reports, brimming with up-to-date data, trend analyses, and in-depth examinations, all tailored to provide you with a comprehensive understanding of the current market dynamics.

Construction

Home Improvement

Installation

Construction

Trends in material usage Q1 2024

2024 102 pages

Explore the evolving trends in material usage among European architects in Q1 2024. Delve into the factors driving material preferences and the impact on construction aesthetics and sustainability.

Construction

Media orientation H2 2021

2024 161 pages

Explore the media engagement patterns of contractors to optimize your marketing strategies. Dive into a pool of insights that unveils how contractors interact with different media channels.

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European Green Deal Q4 2021

2024 88 pages

Explore the impact and reception of the European Green Deal among architects. Understand how the initiative is influencing architectural practices and sustainability measures.

Construction

BIM Q4 2023

2024 246 pages

Key insights regarding the BIM usage and behaviour of European architects, and our latest future building volumes prognoses

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Purchase Channels H2 2023

2024 123

Explore the buying and ordering behaviour among contractors in H1 2023. Uncover the key channels used, share-of-wallet and much more.

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Behavioural segmentation and media usage report 2023

2023 75 pages

This report provides a comprehensive overview of purchase behaviour, products, and media usage, specifically focusing on European handymen. It delves into how handymen use media, and for what purposes, and examines their habits and preferences in terms of purchasing behaviour.

Home Improvement

DIY versus DIFM Q4 2021

2024 113 pages

This report is a must-have if you’re in the home improvement industry. It provides a wealth of information on the behaviour of DIY and DIFM consumers, their motivations, and the factors that influence their purchasing decisions.

Home Improvement

DIY or DIFM Q4 2023

2024 70

Explore the prevailing trends between DIY and DIFM in Q4 2023. Understand consumer preferences and the factors influencing their choice between DIY and DIFM.

Home Improvement

Branding Q3 2023

2023 93 pages

This report offers an extensive overview of the home improvement industry, with a focus on branding and the most popular brands within different categories. Within this report, you will gain insights into how customers perceive home improvement brands and what motivates them to buy certain products.

Home Improvement

Purchase channels Q2 2023

2023 114 pages

The European Home Improvement Monitor offers valuable insights on purchase channels in the European home improvement industry, examining the evolving preferences and behaviors of consumers across traditional retail and emerging online platforms.

Home Improvement

Rise of digital natives Q1 2022

2022 120 pages

Explore the impact of digital natives on the home improvement sector in Q1 2022. Discover how digitalization is shaping consumer behaviors and market trends.

Home Improvement

Purchase Channels Q2 2022

2022 124 pages

Uncover the prevalent purchase channels in the home improvement sector during Q2 2022. Delve into consumer preferences and the factors influencing their purchasing decisions.

Installation

Sustainability Q1 2024

2024 99 pages

The European Electrical Installation Monitor report provides a detailed analysis of the sustainable solutions in the installation industry. This report specifically focuses on sustainability aspects in the industry.

Installation

Challenges toward sustainable future Q4 2021

2024 111 pages

Installation

Purchase channels Q4 2021

2024 106 pages

Delve into the training needs within the electrical installation sector. Understand the areas requiring skill development to meet the evolving demands of the industry.

Installation

European Heat Pump Monitor: Homeowners’ insight

2024

The European Heat Pump Monitor: Homeowners’ insight is an annual survey based on about 4.000 online interviews with homeowners, conducted in 8 European countries. The report covers a range of topics, relevant to understand the sentiments, buying behaviours, concerns, and evolving needs of the target group. It includes 8 country-specific insights, with cross-country comparisons, and provide guidance for shaping successful and sustainable strategies for business growth.

Installation

European Heat Pump Monitor: Heat pump installers’ insight

2024

The European Heat Pump Monitor: Heat pump installers’ insight is an annual survey based on 920 phone interviews with heat pump installers, conducted in 8 European countries. The report covers a range of topics, relevant to understand the sentiments, buying behaviours, concerns, and evolving needs of the target group. It includes 8 country-specific insights, with cross-country comparisons, and provide guidance for shaping successful and sustainable strategies for business growth.

Installation

Training needs Q4 2023

2024 110 Pages

This report explores the training needs of installers, both digital and personal. The full report covers all important training needs & aspects and offers a comprehensive overview of business development in the installation sector across important European countries.