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Market Size Research for Construction

Construction markets are opaque: published data is outdated, inconsistently defined, or based on shipments, not installed volumes. We size markets from the ground up, from real purchase volumes to channel splits. Whether you need a TAM, brand share by country, or segment volumes for an M&A case, we run primary CATI research with contractors, specifiers, and distributors to produce figures you can defend, not trade-report extrapolation.

30+

years sizing construction markets

40+

countries across sizing projects

Bottom-up

volume x projects x channel, trade-validated

M&A ready

for due diligence and market entry

What We Measure

Whether you need a TAM for a board presentation, brand share by country for a competitive review, or segment-level volume data to support an M&A decision, we run primary CATI research with contractors, specifiers, and distributors to produce figures you can defend.

Examples

1

Total Market Size

TAM in volume and value for your exact category, and the SAM reachable given your format, price, distribution, and certification. Split by building type (new build, renovation, commercial, industrial, civil) and region.

2

Market Share

Volume and value share by brand from actual reported purchases, not stated preference. Share by channel (merchant, specialist wholesaler, direct, DIY retail) and audience segment, with year-on-year movement from two-wave designs.

3

Forecasting

Three-to-five-year volume and value projections combining respondent forward intentions with construction output data. Regulatory scenario modelling (energy, fire classification, sustainability), with base, upside, and downside cases.

4

Channel Analysis

Volume split between distribution routes and direction of change. Growth of direct-to-contractor vs. traditional merchant - a shift occurring at different speeds in different European markets. Distributor brand mix: which brands are gaining shelf space and why.

Subsectors Covered

Note: This is a portion of the subsectors and product categories we cover within the research.

What we Measure

How Branding Research works for Construction - Example Project

Example project

Scenario: a window manufacturer wants the total European market for windows, by country, building type, and brand share, before deciding where to concentrate sales investment over the next three years.

Design: CATI with 150 specialised contractors and 100 general contractors per country across France, Germany, the UK, Poland, and the Netherlands. Each reports installed volume in the past 12 months by product type, the brands used, the rough split across new build and renovation, and any planned brand changes.

Calculation: average annual volume per contractor, grossed up by the active contractor population from trade registries and adjusted for company size. Cross-validated against construction-starts statistics and trade association data, with discrepancies documented and explained.

Output: TAM by country in units per year, brand share by country and project type, renovation versus new build split, and a 3-year projection under base and accelerated-renovation scenarios.

This is an illustrative example. Actual countries, respondent types, and methodology depend on your brief.

Discuss Your Project

Methodology

BOTTOM-UP PRIMARY RESEARCH - THE CORE METHODOLOGY

Every market sizing study starts with primary interviews. We survey contractors, installers, specifiers, and wholesalers directly to capture actual purchase and installation volumes over the past 12 months. This is more reliable than top-down extrapolation from published reports because it reflects real behavior - not shipment data, which includes inventory movements and does not distinguish between products sold and products installed.

CATI FOR B2B PROFESSIONALS

The primary fieldwork method for reaching contractors, roofers, facade specialists, tile installers, and specifiers. We recruit directly by phone. No panels. Panel respondents in construction give unreliable volume estimates - professionals reached by targeted phone recruitment are answering about their own recent work, which produces materially better data quality for sizing purposes.

WHOLESALER AND DISTRIBUTOR INTERVIEWS

For channel-level market sizing, we interview merchant buyers, specialist distributors, and trade counter managers by phone. They provide sell-through volumes and brand mix at the point of distribution. This adds a channel-level validation layer to the contractor-level bottom-up estimate, and it is often the most efficient way to size markets where a small number of large distributors control a significant volume share.

TOP-DOWN VALIDATION

We cross-reference bottom-up primary estimates against available construction starts data, trade association statistics, customs data, and any producer shipment figures. Where discrepancies exist, we investigate and explain them. We do not average top-down and bottom-up estimates - we identify which is more reliable for each specific market and explain the reasoning.

BRAND SHARE MEASUREMENT

We measure share of actual purchase behavior, not stated preference. Respondents report volumes purchased by brand in the past 12 months, broken down by product category. Behavioral share data is significantly more reliable for sizing purposes than claimed preference data, which is subject to social desirability bias and brand familiarity effects.

DEMAND MODELING AND FORECASTING

For 3-5 year projections, we combine respondent-reported forward intentions with macroeconomic construction output forecasts and relevant regulatory timelines. Scenario modeling is particularly valuable for categories where regulation drives demand: insulation (energy efficiency standards), roofing (climate adaptation), and facade (fire classification changes).

MULTI-COUNTRY HARMONIZATION

Market definitions, product categories, and respondent types are standardized across countries so outputs are directly comparable. Local adjustments are made for market-specific distribution structures - the merchant landscape in France differs structurally from Germany, and this affects both how we design the channel analysis and how we gross up contractor-level data to market totals.

Target Audiences

This is a portion of the audiences we include in market sizing studies.

General contractors

Primary source for installed volumes of structural products, insulation, roofing, windows, and doors. Annual purchase volumes by product category and brand are the core data input. Reached by CATI.

Architects and specifiers

Source of project pipeline data, specification brand preferences, and forward project intentions - used for both share measurement and forecasting inputs. Reached by CATI.

Wholesalers and merchants

Channel-level sell-through volume and brand mix. Particularly useful as a cross-validation layer for categories where a few large distributors concentrate significant volume. Reached by CATI.

Building owners and developers

Useful for sizing renovation and refurbishment markets and project pipeline at the commercial end. Commercial audiences reached by CATI; residential homeowners by online survey (CAWI).

DIY consumers

Relevant for construction categories with a retail component (paint, flooring, basic adhesives). Purchase frequency and volumes captured via online survey (CAWI).

Industry and trade experts

Used for qualitative validation in thin or emerging markets. Face-to-face or phone IDIs.

Our Advantage

Why Market Sizing for Construction?

Market sizing in construction requires knowing how the market actually works. We have sized construction markets for over 30 years. We know that self-reported installed volumes from individual roofers need to be weighted for company size distribution, that adhesive volumes at contractor level systematically undercount wastage and multi-product use, and that French merchants report different volume structures from German ones even for the same product category. That operational knowledge is not available from a generalist research agency reading the same industry reports you already have.

Our methodology is bottom-up by design. We interview the people who buy, specify, and install the products - by phone, not via a panel. Panels in construction are not a reliable source of volume data. Phone recruitment of active practitioners produces materially better estimates because respondents are reporting their own recent purchasing behavior, not guessing at market size. For M&A contexts, our methodology appendix documents the full approach in enough detail for a financial team to scrutinize the numbers.

We build market sizing studies for reuse. Consistent sampling design, harmonized reporting, and documented methodology mean that a five-country study in year one can be repeated in year three and produce valid trend lines. For board-level business cases, investor presentations, or acquisition due diligence, that repeatability transforms a single data point into a credible tracking asset.

Project Examples

Quant | Construction - Market Sizing (Roofing)

A quantitative market sizing study was conducted among roofing contractors across the United States, United Kingdom, France, Germany, Poland, and the Netherlands for a roof window manufacturer. The study measured installed volumes by product type and building type, brand share among active contractors, and new build vs. renovation split. The bottom-up estimate was validated against national construction starts data. Results provided a defensible TAM by country used to set regional sales targets and prioritize market investment.

US, UK, FR, DE, PL, NL

Quant | Construction - Market Sizing (Adhesives)

A quantitative market sizing study in Greece measured the tile adhesives market among contractors and tile layers. The study produced competitive brand share data and a segmentation of the market by product type (polymer-modified vs. standard) and distribution channel (specialist tile distributor vs. generalist builder's merchant). The client used findings to assess market entry viability and identify the dominant distribution route for their product format.

GR

Quant | Construction - Market Sizing (Portfolio)

A quantitative market sizing study across Belgium, Italy, and Spain assessed the commercial opportunity for reintroducing a legacy brand portfolio. The study combined brand funnel measurement with volume estimation at contractor and distributor level, modelling the achievable share at different levels of distribution investment. Output gave the client a country-by-country view of addressable market potential before committing to re-entry.

BE, IT, ES

Qual+Quant | Construction/HVAC - Market Sizing (M&A)

A study combining 300+ CATI interviews with HVAC professionals in Croatia, Serbia, and Montenegro was conducted to evaluate an acquisition target's market position. The study produced market share data by brand, competitive landscape assessment, and an estimate of addressable volume for the acquiring company post-acquisition. Strategic fit was validated and untapped market potential was quantified at a level of detail that supported the investment committee presentation.

HR, RS, ME

Deliverables

What You Receive

Actionable Insights, Not Just Data

Deliverables are always tailored to the needs of our customer. Together we choose the form in which the insights can make the most impact. This can be:

  • Market size report: TAM and SAM by country in volume and value, with methodology, confidence intervals, and top-down validation
  • Brand share tables: volume and value by brand and country, by product category, channel, and contractor type
  • Segment sizing: volume by building type, product category, and specification route, tabular and visual
  • Channel split analysis: volume and value by distribution route, with trend direction and country variation
  • Forecast model: 3-5 year projections with base case and regulatory scenario, stated assumptions, and sensitivity analysis
  • Competitive landscape summary: brand positions, estimated shares, and distribution footprints for named competitors
  • Methodology appendix: bottom-up calculation, sample design, weighting, and top-down validation, structured for CFO or due-diligence scrutiny
  • Executive summary deck: 10-15 slides with key figures, brand share, and strategic implications for a board or investment committee

Multi-Country Capability

Construction market structures differ materially by country, and this affects both how studies are designed and how results are interpreted. In Germany, specialist wholesale channels dominate; in France, generalist builders merchants have a larger share; in Eastern Europe, direct contractor purchasing from manufacturers is more common. Our multi-country market sizing studies account for these structural differences - we do not apply a single model to every market and divide by country. We adapt the channel analysis design, the respondent mix, and the grossing-up methodology to reflect actual market structure in each country. We have sized construction markets across all major European economies and in North America, the Middle East, and Asia-Pacific. Studies run simultaneously across multiple countries with harmonized methodology and a single reporting framework, enabling direct country-to-country comparison. For clients building a business case across a region, the ability to compare TAM, brand share, and channel mix on a like-for-like basis across six or eight markets in a single output is a material advantage over commissioning separate local studies through separate agencies.

Key European Markets

Netherlands Germany France United Kingdom Belgium Italy Spain Poland Nordics Turkey

Americas

United States Canada Brazil Mexico

Asia-Pacific & Middle East

China Japan India Australia UAE Saudi Arabia

Bottom-up primary research methodology

market sizes derived from actual purchase volumes reported by contractors and specifiers - not extrapolated from trade association publications

Direct CATI recruitment

no panels - all professional respondents reached by phone, ensuring data quality adequate for volume estimation

30+ years of construction market sizing

accumulated sector knowledge of how markets are structured, how to weight respondent data, and where top-down sources are unreliable

M&A-ready methodology documentation

40+ country track record

market sizing executed across all major European construction markets and in North America, Middle East, and Asia-Pacific

  1. Why run primary research for market sizing when published construction market reports exist?

Published reports are typically based on producer shipment data, which includes inventory movements and does not reflect installed volumes. They use product definitions that rarely match your specific category precisely. They are rarely granular enough for brand share or channel split analysis at the level your strategy requires. Primary research gives you market size defined exactly as your business uses it – your product format, your customer type, your distribution channel – not a proxy from a different data source.

  1. What is your actual methodology for calculating market size?

We use a bottom-up approach. We survey a representative sample of contractors, installers, or specifiers and ask about their actual purchase volumes in the past 12 months by product category and brand. We gross up to the market level using active contractor population data from national trade registries, adjusted for company size distribution. We cross-validate against top-down sources – trade association data, construction output statistics, import/export figures – and document where they align and where they diverge.

  1. What sample sizes do you use, and how precise are the outputs?

Sample size depends on output granularity. For a single-country study requiring national-level estimates by product category, 100-200 contractor interviews is typically sufficient. For multi-country studies or studies requiring regional breakdowns, 200-300 interviews per country may be needed. We provide confidence intervals on all estimates rather than single-point figures, and we recommend the minimum sample that makes the outputs statistically defensible for your specific use case.

  1. Can you run market sizing as a recurring study to track market share over time?

Yes. Many construction clients run annual sizing waves to track share movement and validate the effect of product launches or pricing changes. We maintain consistent methodology between waves so trend lines are valid. We document all methodology parameters between waves and flag any changes in market structure that affect comparability.

  1. Can you cover construction markets outside Europe?

Yes. We have sized construction markets in the United States, Canada, the Middle East, and Asia-Pacific. Methodology adapts to local market structures – in some markets, trade distribution data is more accessible through associations; in others, contractor-level phone interviewing is the only reliable source. We advise on the most practical approach for each specific market before committing to a design.

  1. How do you reach construction professionals in markets where they are hard to recruit?

We recruit by phone. In markets where phone recruitment is more challenging – some emerging markets, or highly fragmented contractor populations – we supplement with face-to-face interviewing or use established local fieldwork partners with professional trade networks. We do not substitute with online panels for volume estimation purposes. Panel data quality for professional volume reporting is not adequate.

  1. Can market sizing data be used for M&A due diligence, and how do you document the methodology?

Yes, and we have run studies specifically designed for this use. For M&A contexts, we provide a full methodology appendix documenting the sample design, weighting approach, validation process, and confidence intervals. The appendix is structured to withstand scrutiny from a financial or legal team. We provide point estimates and ranges, not single figures presented without margin of error.

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PHONE

+31 10 2066900

ADDRESS

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3062 MA Rotterdam